QB Reality – Why Most Teams Stand No Chance

UPDATED: Super Bowl 48 was a bit of an anomaly. Maybe. We’ll see if Russell Wilson wins another Super Bowl, which he’s already in position to do. Stark reality looms for teams without a quarterback sporting a championship ring: Out of nearly 50 Super Bowls, only 31 quarterbacks have won.

Of those 31 quarterbacks, 11 have won multiple Super Bowls. That equates to 28 of the 48 Super Bowls, roughly 60 percent of the games. The trend stays fairly steady through the Free Agency Era. Multi-winning quarterbacks have won 11 of the 21 contests, and only 15 quarterbacks won championships. Before Free Agency, 16 quarterbacks won those 27 SBs.

Dawson

Dawson in Super Bowl 4.

Wilson and Joe Flacco won the last two, perhaps slightly bucking the trend. In the Super Bowl era, however, Super Bowls 3-5 were the only three straight SBs in which the winning quarterback didn’t win multiple times on Super Bowl Sunday. Even that statistic’s a stretch, as SB 5 was Johnny Unitas’ third NFL championship, and SB 4 was Len Dawson’s second title, including the 1962 AFL Championship. (NOTE: For simplicity, I counted the Unitas/Earl Morrall tandem as one winning QB.)

11 quarterbacks have won multiple Super Bowls. Terry Bradshaw and Joe Montana each won 4. Troy Aikman and Tom Brady, 3.  All of these men were clearly top-tier QBs of their day. Of the remaining 6 multi-winners, only Jim Plunkett and Eli Manning don’t fall into the clearly elite class. Bart Starr, Roger Staubach, Bob Griese, and John Elway are indisputable legends. Ben Roethlisberger is close, certainly warranting serious Canton consideration.

A roll call of top single-time winners includes Joe Namath, Len Dawson, Ken Stabler, Steve Young, Brett Favre, Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers, and Drew Brees. All exceptional talents, and high above the majority of their peers. Add those 8 with the multiple winners, and you’ve got 19 of the 31 Super Bowl winning QBs. Moreover, it’s 75% percent of the games (36 of the 48 Super Bowls),

JoeNamath

 

Namath giving the only finger that matters after SB 3.

Incredibly, the trend holds true dating back to the 1940s. Only three championship quarterbacks – Frank Ryan (64 Browns), Billy Wade (63 Bears), and Doug Heinrich (56 Giants) won only one championship in post single-wing times.

All other championships were won by multiple-winning quarterbacks. Excluding the 1944 Championship which featured tailbacks rather than quarterbacks, 22 of the 25 NFL champions from 1940-1966 featured multi-championship winning quarterbacks. (Note: Bob Waterfield and Norm Van Brocklin both saw action for the 1951 Rams. Waterfield started the championship game; Van Brocklin threw the winning touchdown. Both won individually only once. Waterfield with the 1945 Rams; Van Brocklin with the 1960 Eagles.)

All of the American Football League championships before the merger were won by multi-winning QBs. George Blanda won the first two before Dawson beat Blanda in the 1962 title game. Tobin Rote quarterbacked the 1963 Chargers after doing likewise for the 1957 Detroit Lions. Jack Kemp won the last two with the Buffalo Bills the final two years before the merger. The Cleveland Browns won every AAFC championship, guided by Otto Graham. Graham also led the Browns to 3 NFL Championships.

Chargers

It gets more disconcerting if you have a low-grade quarterback running your team. Most one-time winning quarterbacks beat forgettable quarterbacks in championship games. Trent Dilfer beat Kerry Collins. Doug Heinrich beat a man named Ed Brown. Rarely does a quarterback below the golden grade win over a top-tier QB for a championship. There are a few exceptions, such as Doug Williams topping John Elway, and Frank Ryan getting the better of Johnny Unitas. Williams’ and Ryan’s defenses, however, gave up a combined total of 10 points in those games.

The tide may be turning, as 7 quarterbacks have won the last 10 Super Bowls. But again, only 15 quarterbacks have won Super Bowls in the Free Agency Era, and this year’s Patriots/Seahawks matchup follows the trend.

If you add the 1940 – 1966 era to that to the Super Bowl Era, 50 of 72 championships were won by quarterbacks who won at least one more championship. Only 43 quarterbacks have won a championship since 1940 (Unitas/Morrall both given credit for SB 5.)

ORDER  THE GAME BEFORE THE MONEY FROM AMAZON HERE! (ALSO ON KINDLE!)

ORDER THE GAME BEFORE THE MONEY FROM BARNES AND NOBLE HERE! (ALSO ON NOOK!)

Legendary Insights: Don Maynard Part 3

This is the final post in a three-part series recounting my recent chat with New York Jets legend Don Maynard. The first two discussed Don’s modified game equipment and the Jets passing attack. Today we take a look at the Jets magical run to Super Bowl 3 and their historic victory.

FEWER SACKS = MORE WINS

Most quarterbacks dropped back about 8 yards to throw. Jets quarterback Joe Namath usually backed up 10-12 yards, compensating for a lack of mobility from chronic knee problems. The few extra yards gave Namath more time to throw, and his sack total is one of the lowest in NFL history. Maynard credited much of the Jets success to an usually low sack total, allowing the passing game to flourish.

1968 AFL CHAMPIONSHIP

The Jets played the Oakland Raiders in the 1968 AFL Championship, a few weeks after their famous “Heidi Bowl” debacle. Maynard guffawed suggestions that the Jets thought about the Heidi Bowl during the championship. “Any game you’ve played has nothing to do with the one you’re playing today,” he said.

In the championship, the Jets trailed Oakland 23-20 in the fourth quarter. Maynard explained that Jets players could provide Namath with information until Joe knelt down in the huddle. After Namath crouched, he’d have the floor. Maynard recognized a weakness in the Raiders coverage and told Namath, “Got a long one when you need it.”

A few plays later, Namath  hunkered down in the huddle and said, “Alright, we’re going to go for it now. Nobody hold on this play.”

Namath launched a high, arching pass toward Maynard, but Shea Stadium’s swirling winds swerved the ball off course. What the New York Jets website dubbed, “Joe Namath’s Greatest Throw”, would have fallen incomplete without Maynard’s incredible adjustments under pressure. “We always had the terminology of catching it over your left shoulder at about ten o’clock,” Maynard said. “The wind caught Joe’s pass and took it around to eleven, twelve, one, and two o’clock. I went all the way around and caught it at two o’clock, going out of bounds on the 6 yard-line.” (Watch the play here.)

Namath then drilled a six-yard pass to Don for the winning score, and the Jets were on their way to Miami for Super Bowl 3.

SUPER BOWL 3

Don said the Jets mostly ignored the media predicting a double-digit loss against Baltimore. “Half of us don’t even read the papers….You just go out and play the other team. Even though the Colts had won something like fifteen straight ball games, we just went out there and played.”

A hamstring injury had impaired Maynard before the AFL Championship. It nagged throughout that game and into Super Bowl 3. Maynard’s 118 yards and 2 touchdowns against Oakland led the Colts to believe Don had fully recovered. “The Colts double-teamed me all game,” he said with a chuckle, adding that George Sauer pulled in 8 catches for 133 yards as a result.

Maynard applauded Matt Snell and Emerson Boozer’s efforts, crediting them with  important roles in the historic win. Snell hammered out 121 yards rushing. “I don’t think Joe threw at all in the fourth quarter,” Maynard recalled.

SUMMARY

The Jets rushing defense rated tops in the AFL in 1968. Their pass defense stood second in the league for two straight seasons. They gave up fewer yards than the Colts vaulted defense, in a league known for its offense. Led by the Hall of Fame tandem of Maynard and Namath, the Jets offense finished second overall in the AFL, outdoing the Colts in total yards and scoring. Kicker Jim Turner led the AFL in field goals and scoring, and averaged over 10 points a game. His 145 points bested Colts kicker Lou Michaels by over 40.  Turner kicked 3 field goals in Super Bowl 3, while Michaels missed both of his attempts.

Blends of outstanding offense, defense and special teams often crystallize into championship rings. The Jets were statistically better than Baltimore in several categories in 1968, including turnover ratio. Consistent to that ratio, the Jets were +4 in turnovers against the Colts on Super Bowl Sunday. While Super Bowl 3 is often cited as one of the greatest upsets in sports history, perhaps the Jets were substantially underrated.

*NOTE* Several of the quotes used above are from The Game Before the Money: Voices of the Men Who Built the NFL. The book will be released by the University of Nebraska Press on September 1, 2014, but you can order it now on Amazon.

Super-Bowl-IIIRing

Legendary Insights: Don Maynard Part 2

This is the second of three posts summarizing my recent chat with New York Jets legend Don Maynard. The last post highlighted advantages Maynard gained from modified equipment. We now examine the explosive Jets passing offense of the 1960s.

Painting by Robert Hurst. www.ADamnFineArtist.com

Painting by Robert Hurst. www.ADamnFineArtist.com

ROUNDING OFF

Maynard broke into pro football with the New York Giants in 1958.  He played behind Frank Gifford and Kyle Rote as a running back and receiver. He also returned kicks and subbed as the fifth defensive back. “Besides Gifford, I was probably the most all-around ball player they had,” Maynard said.

Don paid attention to how Gifford and Rote ran pass routes and modified their actions. For example, Maynard noticed that when a receiver cuts sharply, he grants the defender an extra second while he stops to cut. Maynard rounded off his routes to keep his momentum going.

The Jets had a “staircase” pattern. A receiver ran several yards, cut across, and flew downfield. Maynard’s rounding approach not only sustained his momentum, but also left turning defensive backs flat-footed. That extra second gave Maynard a head start breaking deep. Huge gains off the staircase helped Don set the NFL record for most yards per catch, a mark he still holds. He graciously points out, however, that it’s for players with over 600 catches and Lance Alworth owns a slightly higher average with 542 grabs.

The Jets' staircase pattern, shown the standard way on the left, Maynard's on the right.

The Jets’ staircase pattern, shown the standard way on the left, Maynard’s on the right.

KEEPING AN EYE ON THE BALL

Don frequently practiced catching with one eye closed. “Often during a game you’re only seeing the ball out of one eye. If you’re running a down and in, you’re only seeing the ball out of your left eye,” he explained. Maynard would have several balls thrown from different angles during practice, catching the ball with one eye closed.

 FLASHING SIGNS

“I taught Namath something that no coach, even in today’s game, has ever taught a quarterback to do: read the defender!” Maynard exclaimed. Pre- and post-snap adjustments were key elements to the Jets success. Receivers employed hand signals before the snap to notify quarterback Joe Namath of changed pass routes. Acting like one was digging with a shovel signaled a down and in; (D-I for dig; D-I for down and in.) Other signs included placing either an open hand or a fist on a knee, one or two hands on the hips, and patting the top of the helmet. Each movement signified a different pattern. The Jets used this system at the line of scrimmage like baseball teams use “steal” signs.

Maynard and tight end Pete Lammons often lined up on the same side. Lammons would run 10 yards and in, and Maynard 15 and in. Teams using zone defenses couldn’t cover both men in the same area. Often the speedy Maynard was left isolated in man-to-man coverage, resulting in big plays.

Pete  Lammons

Pete Lammons

 SUMMARY

Maynard, Lammons, and George Sauer suited up with Namath for several consecutive seasons. Together, they practiced nuances of the passing game every single day.  Their tireless work led to outstanding execution on the field.

The Jets passing attack reached a pinnacle in 1967. Namath became the first quarterback in pro football history to throw for 4,000 yards (4,007). Maynard and Sauer finished 1-2 in the AFL for receiving yardage, with Don averaging over 100 yards per game.

NOTE: Maynard details more of the Jets passing game and his life story in The Game before Money. Two above quotes are from that book.

Don  Maynard and Joe  Namath

Don Maynard and Joe Namath

MaynardLammons

Pete Lammons, Don Maynard and George Sauer